I launched ChatGPT for the first time in a long time because I now have access to the new version. One new thing I see is that they are popping up suggestions about things you can do in realtime, like smart queries in a feed reader, which as far as I know is still uncharted territory. Like this: “let me know when the Mets have a three-game winning streak.”
That’s the kind of thing TBL dreamed about in his semantic web plan, but he wrote the spec before writing software, and that doesn’t work. His invention, the web, which came before was a perfectly timed, perfectly simple approach to sharing ideas on the internet. It worked because he created a product that worked, and made every piece completely replaceable. It came at a time when stagnation in tech made something necessary, or the whole thing was going to fall apart, and so close to so much incredible potential. Just like the moment we’re in now with AI.
Rules for Standards Makers says a lot about this.
The value of disruption is that it undoes stagnation.
Anyone who has the same software plan today that they had a year ago is going to find themselves isolated. Even WordPress, though it is open source, is a silo that imho in the future will not work. The main selling point of AT Proto is that it is a safe haven for developers who nuzzle up, another word for that is silo.
The siloers are probably scrambling to find a way for the AI to run inside their world, mistake — instead they should be trying to be fully relevant to applications in the AI world. Like Slack, for example, and Claude Tag. It’s now built in. Has to be replaceable too. Small pieces loosely joined. That’s what you have to be imho to have a role in the future of tech.
If your advantage is your silo, undo that as quickly as possible. Become the default version of whatever it was meant to be wrt the web. Both Bluesky and WordPress find themselves in the same quagmire. Probably a lot of others do, but this is the area I study. (I just am very familiar with the products of both companies, for some reason.)
This is the intuition we all had, coming to fruition. Evolution is something we haven’t seen much of in the software world since 2006 or so. Incredible stagnation because of the dominance of the social web. We lost the software web. All the focus was on personalities, celebrity — hype and 99.999% bullshit. It was a 20 year period where all that happened was scaling.
Lots more to say about this. The world we lived in ran on hype, now guess what — having lived through a few big evolutionary changes in tech is a huge advantage vs the people who have never been part of one, and I think most of the people in tech today qualify.